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Monday, November 23, 2009

Bowl Predictions (11/23)

Not getting into all the nitty gritty this week. Instead, just a quick rundown...

NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP: Alabama vs. Texas

SUGAR BOWL: Florida vs. Cincinnati

CAP ONE BOWL: Ole Miss vs. Iowa

OUTBACK BOWL: LSU vs. Wisconsin

COTTON BOWL: Arkansas vs. Oklahoma State

CHICK-FIL-A BOWL: Tennessee vs. Clemson

MUSIC CITY BOWL: Georgia vs. Florida State

LIBERTY BOWL: Kentucky vs. East Carolina

INDEPENDENCE BOWL: Auburn vs. Kansas State

PAPAJOHNS.COM BOWL: South Carolina vs. Connecticut

Essentially, Georgia's bowl hopes come down to this:

-- If Tennessee beats Kentucky, the Vols will almost certainly land the No. 2 bid from the East, meaning they'll either go to the Outback or the Chick-fil-A, with LSU going to the other.

-- The Music City will then have to decide whether they want Georgia or Kentucky. The Cats have gone to Nashville three of the last four years, so that could be a factor. If Georgia can pull the upset next week, however, that could also give them an edge. But the potential of an FSU-Georgia matchup could be an attractive one regardless of anything else.

-- If Kentucky beats Tennessee, the whole situation is shaken up. The Cats would win second in the East with head-to-head wins over South Carolina, Georgia and Tennessee. That would probably send Kentucky to either the Chick-fil-A or Outback. The trickle down would likely put Tennessee in the Music City and land Georgia in competition with Auburn for spots in the Independence or Liberty Bowls. Worst case scenario: Auburn beats Alabama, South Carolina beats Clemson and Georgia falls to Tech. Then we'll be enjoying some of the finest ingredients delivery pizza has to offer.

Chris Low has Georgia sliding all the way to the PapaJohns.com Bowl. I can't see how they slide past Auburn and South Carolina, two teams they beat head to head, unless some serious upsets happen. But who knows.

And what do I know anyway? Mark Schalabach also has the Dawgs headed to Birmingham, while Bruce Feldman is banking on a trip to Shreveport for the Dawgs in ESPN's expert projections.

3 comments:

Carter said...

If we do play FSU, it is a good thing that Christian Ponder is out for the year. He would put up 500 yds passing against us.

Quinton McDawg said...

There is no chance the Indy Bowl selects South Carolina over Georgia. None. Cancel your reservations for Birmingham.

Paul said...

David, I read somewhere that Kentucky has asked to not play a bowl game on Jan 2 since that's a home basketball game versus Louisville. Of course, now it seems they don't need to concern themselves with the lower-tier bowls, but... my guess is that they'll not be asked to do something that will more or less kill their ability to travel.