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Wednesday, March 2, 2011

UGA in SEC tourney: Stll lots of possibilities

The SEC East seeding picture remains a confused jumble. Near as I can figure, Georgia could still finish anywhere from second to fifth, and a win tonight against LSU wouldn’t change that.

Here are the current standings, leaving out first and sixth place, which have been decided:

TEAM ……. W-L …. Div.
Kentucky …... 9-6 ……. 6-3
Vanderbilt … 9-6 …….. 4-5
Georgia …….. 8-6 …….. 4-6
Tennessee …. 7-7 ………. 4-4

Here’s the key fact for Georgia: It will lose any tiebreaker, thanks to division record and being swept by Vanderbilt. (Head-to-head is first, followed by division record. If Tennessee and Georgia tie, the Vols will have won at least one more division game to clinch that tiebreaker.)

So the Bulldogs need to finish outright ahead of anybody in order to have a higher seed. And it can still finish second if:

- Georgia beats LSU and Alabama.
- Vanderbilt loses at home to Florida and Kentucky loses at Tennessee.

Boom. Georgia gets the first-round bye in that scenario.

But the Bulldogs can also finish fifth, even if they beat LSU. If they follow that up by losing to Alabama, and Tennessee wins out (beating South Carolina and Kentucky), then … boom … a 9-7 Georgia team will have the fifth seed.

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